Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
12.0 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Oriente Medio30d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 81.2%+12.0pt
No 81.2%+12.0ptCalidad del mercado
82 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
123,1 mil €
Liquidez
22,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
14
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 42 minutos
30 sept 26, 21:34 UTC1 nov 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill Hamas actually disarm in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse Netanyahu?
KalshiReglas
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain.
- (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli national government, or an authorized representative of the Israeli national government, publicly announces that Iran or its affiliated groups deliberately caused this incident, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public announcement refers to an on-the-record statement issued by the Israeli national government or by its authorized representatives acting in an official capacity on behalf of the Israeli national government.
- A statement or press release issued by the Israeli national government or any of its agencies will qualify.