PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 95%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
7,9 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
4.0% / 5.8%
Spread
1.8 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
21
Cambio 7d
-6.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
10 jun 26, 0:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
- A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
- Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 95% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026??
- Está previsto que Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET.