At least 20 pardoned Jan 6 rioters involved in politically motivated violence by end of 2026
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Crimen y justicia2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 56.1%
Sí 56.1%Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado21 ene 25, 6:05 UTC31 dic 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
This market resolves YES if 20 or more individuals who received pardons for January 6-related charges are reported by major news outlets (ABC News, NBC News, etc.) to be involved in new politically motivated violence by December 31, 2026.
- Politically motivated violence includes: physical assault, property damage, threats against public figures, or other violent acts with clear political motivation.
- https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/trump-teases-pardoning-jan-6-rioters-day-1/story?id=117880690
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uoJGwV4HEws
