PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
170-189 40.2%+12.0ptLíder entre 5 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
170-189 40.2%+12.0ptCalidad del mercado
63 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
40,2 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
1 oct 26, 0:06 UTC12 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- No
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.