PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 21%-2.0pt
Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
152,2 €
Liquidez
31,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
2.3% / 5.9%
Spread
3.6 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 minutos
11 sept 26, 20:17 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication.
- If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.