PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 75%
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
114,5 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
11.0% / 39.0%
Spread
28.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
15 sept 26, 14:47 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a frontier AI lab removes general public access in the United States to one of its previously publicly available AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Frontier AI labs refers to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, and Meta, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions.
- Removals by any other company or organization will not qualify.
- A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of the lab's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API.
- Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify.
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 267,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 95,6 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.3pt69.2%
- ChatGPT-1.1pt13.5%
- Gemini+1.3pt10.6%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,1 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.0pt72%
- December 15,+4.5pt65%
- November 30,-7.0pt44%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.65%+4.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.55%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 272 mil €
- Volumen 24h
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+8.0pt99%
- Above 24%+6.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 211,1 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 resultados más
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best AI this week
- Next Claude Opus released on?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 20 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026??
- Está previsto que Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if a frontier AI lab removes general public access in the United States to one of its previously publicly available AI models over safety, alignment, or security concerns by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.