PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 52%
Calidad del mercado
32 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
78,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
20.0% / 76.0%
Spread
56.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
15 sept 26, 0:04 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
PolymarketWill the US or UK nationalize any frontier AI labs by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill any two top AI labs merge by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill HOC beat the big AI labs to AGI?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least two frontier AI labs announce a pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Frontier AI labs refers to OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, and Meta.
- A pacing agreement means an agreement under which the parties commit to at least one of the following: conditioning the training, releasing, or deploying AI models on safety requirements; capping the computing power used to train AI models; limiting the rate or extent to which AI systems autonomously train or improve more capable AI systems (recursive self-improvement); or otherwise pausing or slowing the training or release of AI models.
- Agreements announced before market creation will not qualify.
- The labs party to the agreement must each announce it, either jointly or separately, through their official channels or through an authorized representative acting in an official capacity.
Mercados abiertos
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT-1.8pt15.8%
- Gemini-0.3pt5.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 70,3 mil €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027-3.0pt89%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-5.0pt86%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-8.0pt79%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.5pt85%
- December 15,-0.5pt85%
- November 30,80%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIOpen Source market share on Sep 14th
- Above 67.5%99%
- Above 72.5%99%
- Above 70%+22.0pt99%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,4 mil €
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude90.7%
- Gemini2.8%
- ChatGPT0.9%
+6 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 21,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 21,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
- SpaceXAI47%
- Google45%
- Microsoft41%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 20,9 mil €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 52% a fecha de 15 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026??
- Está previsto que Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least two frontier AI labs announce a pacing agreement between them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.