Will a frontier AI lab publish recurring governance metrics with capability benchmarks in one document by 2026-12-31?
RegulaciónOne-OffIAEuropaTecnologíaAjedrezDeportes2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65%
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado16 jul 26, 1:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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- Audit Motion 002
- Will at least one frontier AI company publish recurring organizational governance metrics alongside capability benchmarks, in a single document, on or before 31 December 2026?
- Research Thesis
- This prediction tests whether frontier AI governance will evolve from policy disclosure toward performance disclosure.
- Frontier AI companies now routinely publish governance frameworks, responsible scaling policies, and regulatory compliance documents.
