PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
No 93%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
35 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
74,9 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
2.7% / 11.4%
Spread
8.7 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-8.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
21 ago 26, 15:48 UTC1 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30??
- Está previsto que Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30? se resuelva el 1 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Eric Swalwell arrested by September 30??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Swalwell is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.