Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February?
Geopolítica
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 1 feb 2024, 7:05
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 147 días
Desactualizado13 dic 23, 17:5631 ene 24, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 13, 11:00 AM ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- An official ceasefire agreement requires public recognition by both parties. Any form of informal, unratified, or verbal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. The ceasefire must last at least 24 hours and have begun before the resolution date. For example, if the ceasefire begins on January 31, this market would resolve to "Yes" if the ceasefire continues for 24 hours.
- This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media sources.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+7.2pt78%
- October 31+18.5pt65%
- September 30+13.0pt42%
+17 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 17,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1 M €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- August 22100%
- August 25+0.8pt100%
- August 31+4.0pt96%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No-6.0pt60.4%
- Yes+6.0pt39.6%
- Volumen total
- 8,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 285,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 51,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 230,6 mil €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+0.5pt68%
- December+2.0pt53%
- September 30,+3.5pt25%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)72%
- New People (NL)-0.2pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 resultados más
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 100% a fecha de 31 de marzo de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February??
- Está previsto que Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? se resuelva el 31 de enero de 2024.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas between December 13, 11:00 AM ET and January 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.