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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado18 sept 23, 21:05 UTC1 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
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KalshiReglas
For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
- If Xi ceases to hold all of his formal titles, but comes up with a new one and is still widely recognized as holding de facto power, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- If Xi becomes ill and arguably "de facto" power is held for a short period by someone else, but Xi keeps any of titles during this period, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-88b203241f22
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-5440920441a8
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-dc30a08f527f
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,7 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 356,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.