PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Zhang Shengmin 8%-0.1ptLíder entre 9 opciones
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
476,7 €
Liquidez
99,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.4 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
19
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
29 ene 26, 20:41 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketXi Jinping divorce before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?
KalshiWill Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill xi jinping mention microplastics by EOY2026
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- 1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
- 2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
- Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
- A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
Mercados abiertos
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 11,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 38,7 mil €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volumen total
- 356,3 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 13,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volumen total
- 2,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 11 mil €
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Kinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026??
- Polymarket cotiza Zhang Shengmin al 8% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026??
- Está previsto que Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.