Will we actually see someone bomb an AI datacenter before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffIAOriente MedioTecnología2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 25 oct 2026, 21:13 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 90.3%
Pronosticadores
9
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado11 jun 26, 15:52 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM UTC), there is a confirmed physical bombing or explosive strike against a data center facility primarily dedicated to or publicly characterized as an AI data center.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- "Bombing or explosive strike" is defined as a deliberate physical attack using kinetic ordnance containing explosives.
- This includes missiles, military bombs, artillery, explosive-laden suicide/kamikaze drones (such as Shahed drones), or improvised explosive devices (IEDs).
