Will Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in November 2026?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / Ucrania1m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 oct 2026, 13:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.6%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado21 sept 26, 12:05 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves based on the "Russian Net Monthly Advance" report of Black Bird group (positive values resolve NO, negative resolve YES) - typically published at their X account (x.com/Black_BirdGroup).
- Here is their assessment as of August 2026 (from Black Bird Group (@Black_BirdGroup) on X ):
- [image]If the group does not publish a new assessment following the same methodology by December 1st, this resolves NA
