Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo peace, no Nobel 80%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
52
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado11 oct 25, 17:11 UTC3 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Peace before 2027.
- There doesn't have to be an explicit causal relationship, just whether the two things happen.
- This is a derivative market; it will resolve exactly according to these underlying markets:
- [markets]Previously:
- @/EvanDaniel/will-trump-win-the-2025-nobel-peace