Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 54.3%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado6 ago 26, 13:07 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on or before December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC, the self-proclaimed Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR, commonly known as Transnistria) ceases to exist as a de facto independent breakaway state.
- This condition will be met if any of the following events occur:
- The de facto authorities in Tiraspol formally agree to dissolve their parallel state structures and fully reintegrate into the legal, fiscal, and administrative framework of the Republic of Moldova, with Chisinau assuming complete administrative and security control over the region.
- The de facto government and military/security forces of the PMR are disbanded, surrendered, or removed, and no successor breakaway administration maintains de facto control over the territory.
- The territory is officially annexed or absorbed by another internationally recognized state (such as the Russian Federation) and ceases to operate under its own self-proclaimed independent authority.