Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 65%
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93
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado18 mar 22, 12:21 UTC31 dic 49, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/
- Expected to resolve around Dec 31, 2049.
- Closes 5 years prior.
- Close date updated to 2049-12-30 11:59 pm
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 581,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 55,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 96,8 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 65% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050??
- Está previsto que Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2049.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a 'World War Three' before 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: From https://www.metaculus.com/questions/2534/will-there-be-a-world-war-three-before-2050/