Will the US impose antidumping duties on Russian palladium imports by the end of 2026?
Rusia / UcraniaOne-OffIAPolítica comercialMaterias primas2mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 98%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado16 feb 26, 18:33 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the full AD/CVD case on Russian palladium result in a duty order by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS to impose tariffs on Denmark's imports before the 2028 elections?
FutuurWill the Dec-26 palladium futures settle above $1,000 on October 30, 2026? (precious metals) (commodities) (PGM)?
ForecastExWill an AD duty order on unwrought palladium from Russia be issued by Oct 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of palladium on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria: Resolve YES if the U.S. Department of Commerce publishes an antidumping duty order on unwrought palladium imports from Russia (HTS 7110.21.0000) in the Federal Register by December 31, 2026.
- Background: On February 10, 2026, Commerce announced a preliminary antidumping determination with a 132.83% margin for the Russia-wide entity.
- For a final duty order to be issued, BOTH of the following must occur:
- Commerce final affirmative determination (expected ~April 28, 2026)
- USITC final affirmative injury determination (expected ~June-September 2026)
- ✅ Feb 10, 2026: Preliminary AD determination (132.83% rate)
