Will palladium prices increase by more than 5% due to U.S. antidumping duties on Russian supply by December 31, 2026?
One-OffMaterias primasPolítica comercial3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 96.9%
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4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 15 horas
Desactualizado19 feb 26, 21:02 UTC19 feb 27, 21:02 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves YES if the spot price of palladium increases by more than 5% from its January 12, 2026 level of $1,939/oz by December 31, 2026, as a result of U.S. antidumping duties on Russian palladium.
- The authoritative data source for resolution will be the spot price data from reputable financial market data providers such as Bloomberg or Reuters.
- The U.S. antidumping duties, targeting Nornickel's significant share of global supply, could disrupt supply chains and elevate prices, making this threshold significant.
- The market will consider the impact of these duties as the primary driver for any price increase.
- Other unrelated market factors will not be considered in the resolution.
- Source: Article
