Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (79.2%)
Resuelto: 15 oct 2026, 17:58
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradadosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 16 oct 2026, 8:30 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes79.2%
No20.799999999999997%
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?
PolymarketWill Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
KalshiUS Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
PolymarketAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if the US Government closes the deal to purchase a large share of Intel stock ~10% and the deal is not reversed.
- Resolution will be 3 months after deal closes if there is no lawsuit pending.
- If a lawsuit is pending it will resolve after the lawsuit.
- Resolves NO if the deal is rejected, blocked, reversed, or any synonym of it not happening.
- https://www.intc.com/filings-reports/all-sec-filings/content/0000050863-25-000129/0000050863-25-000129.pdf