Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónLatin AmericaCrime & Justice3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 79.6%
Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 19:44 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- Maduro has been captured by US forces and is being sent to the US to face criminal charges.
- This market resolves YES if Maduro receives a pardon, clemency, immunity deal, or any other form of legal protection that prevents prosecution on the charges he currently faces.
- This includes any agreement that results in dropped charges, case dismissal, or immunity from prosecution in exchange for cooperation, exile, or other concessions.
- The market resolves NO if Maduro is prosecuted and convicted, or if he dies, escapes custody, or the charges are otherwise pursued without a deal granting him legal protection.
- Resolution will be determined by official statements from the U.S. Department of Justice, presidential proclamations, court filings, or credible reporting from major news outlets confirming the terms of any deal.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 80% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government??
- Está previsto que Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Maduro escape prosecution through a deal with the US government??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria