Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026?
One-OffGeopolíticaCommoditiesSpacePolítica21dManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 87.7%
Pronosticadores
1
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 59 minutos
Retrasado31 mar 26, 16:22 UTC30 sept 26, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsCoeur Mining gold production in fiscal 2026
KalshiCoeur Mining gold production in Q3
KalshiWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItReglas
This market resolves YES if, by September 30, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.
- YES if by September 30, 2026:
- Credible reporting confirms junta aerial bombardment of RE mining sites, processing facilities, or RE-specific transport infrastructure in Chipwi/Pangwa/Momeik
- No confirmed airstrikes on RE mining sites by September 30, 2026
- Airstrikes occurred near but not targeting mining operations
- Resolution sources (priority order):
Mercados abiertos
Geopolitics
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026? se resuelva el 30 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by September 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if, by September 30, 2026, Myanmar's military junta has conducted confirmed airstrikes targeting rare earth mining infrastructure in Kachin State.