¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the ICJ find Russia in breach of the Genocide Convention??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 69% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cómo se liquida Will the ICJ find Russia in breach of the Genocide Convention??

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibrado

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos

Datos del 29 oct 2026, 13:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 69%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado ayer

Desactualizado

1 jun 25, 23:51 UTC1 ene 50, 0:50 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the International Court of Justice (ICJ) issues a final judgment, finding that the Russian Federation has breached its obligations under the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (Genocide Convention).
The official judgment must be publicly accessible on the ICJ's website.
If no such judgment is issued by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
The Genocide Convention, adopted in 1948, defines genocide and obligates signatory states to prevent and punish genocide, acts of genocide, incitement to genocide, and so on.
Ukraine initiated proceedings against Russia at the ICJ after the Russian invasion of Ukraine.