Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 26 oct 2026, 7:03 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 91.6%
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48
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado29 jun 23, 16:04 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
France is seeing civil unrest across many cities since Tuesday 2023-06-27 as a policeman shot Nahel, a 17yo who was driving without a licence in Nanterre (Paris suburb):
- https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/europe/france-riots-nahel-shooting.html
- The policeman who shot his gun was just placed in custody and charged with homicide volontaire (first degree murder):
- https://www.francebleu.fr/infos/faits-divers-justice/mort-de-nahel-a-nanterre-le-policier-auteur-du-tir-est-mis-en-examen-et-place-en-detention-provisoire-6108318
- This market resolves YES if the first court who judges the case concludes guilty of murder (voluntary or not), resolves NO if deemed innocent (regardless of reason, e.g. in case of non-lieu).
- [link preview]
