Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 83.6%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 36 minutos
3 jul 26, 17:18 UTC3 jul 27, 17:15 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Is Alex going to resolve his market about Russia's drone attack on Poland fairly?
Manifold MarketsWill Lukashenko still be the President of Belarus by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lukashenko be president of Belarus by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBelarus, Russia, Ukraine, Kazahstan - Entangled market.
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketReglas
https://archive.is/BkISd
- Resolves YES if any of the following occur:
- Russian or Belarussian soldiers cross into Polish territory without explicit Polish permission
- Critical Polish infrastructure is targeted in a kinetic attack with Russian or Belarussian missiles or drones
- A "simulated air strike" from Russia or Belarus in which Poland activates its air defenses
- Resolves based on a consensus of credible reporting.