Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / Ucrania2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.2%
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14
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado5 nov 23, 3:13 UTC12 nov 28, 4:59 UTC
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Given current information, the probability of Russia being removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years seems highly unlikely [1][3].
- This judgment is based on a few key observations.
- First, there are several significant legal obstacles that make it nearly impossible to remove Russia from the Security Council [1][3][4].
- These include the need for a majority vote from the General Assembly, which would also need to include all five permanent members of the Security Council, one of which is Russia [1][8].
- Adding to this difficulty is the lack of a clear legal basis for such a removal [4][5].
- Second, there is not enough support from other UN member states for the removal of Russia [3][7][8][9].
