Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 75.4%
Pronosticadores
6
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado10 ago 26, 23:11 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, before December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM UTC, the civil war in Myanmar is officially declared or widely recognized as ended.
- The end of the conflict must satisfy at least one of the following conditions:
- Comprehensive Peace Agreement: A formal, nationwide peace agreement, political settlement, or permanent ceasefire is signed between the central ruling authority of Myanmar (the military-led State Administration Council (SAC) or its successor) and the primary armed opposition groups (including the National Unity Government (NUG) and key coalitions like the Three Brotherhood Alliance or its constituent Ethnic Armed Organizations (EAOs)).
- The agreement must be officially announced and remain actively in effect on December 31, 2027.
- Localized, temporary, or fragmented bilateral truces do not qualify.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027??
- Está previsto que Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Myanmar's civil war end before EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria