Will more than 100.000 Syrians return to Syria from Germany by March 2027?
Oriente MedioOne-OffEuropaPolítica4mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.9%
Pronosticadores
15
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado30 mar 26, 18:33 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Israel military action against Syria by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill the US reopen its embassy in Syria?
KalshiWill the United States cease its military campaign in Syria by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market is based on the statements by Merz seen on Channel 4 News on X
- This market has reduced criteria compared to Merz's statement:
- 33% (instead of 80%) over 3 years and a reduced time frame for faster market resolution.
- Two months are added since official numbers might come out later than 1.Jan 2027
- 900_000 / 3 / 3 years = 100_000 yr⁻¹
- Resolution criteria