Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
GeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle EastChinaLatin AmericaTecnología4a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 87.4%
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado9 feb 24, 13:31 UTC1 mar 31, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Japan has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.
- This device must be under the sovereign control of the Japanese State, and they must have the ability to use it independently.
- Different countries:
- @/RemNi/will-japan-acquire-nuclear-weapons (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-australia-acquire-nuclear-weap
- @/RemNi/will-south-korea-acquire-nuclear-we
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 87% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Está previsto que Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Japan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Japan has acquired at least one nuclear weapon before January 1st 2031.