Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 82.9%
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20
Tipo de pregunta
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 4 horas
Desactualizado4 feb 25, 10:31 UTC2 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Turkey annex any portion of Syria by EOY2030? (even by establishing an informal gvmt?)
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from the West Bank by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ?
FutuurWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PolymarketWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsraeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Will the Israeli Defense Forces withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria, returning to its prior position, by the end of 2026?
- Only IDF troops will be considered to be IDF presence; if the military of an allied entity holds the territory, this can still resolve Yes.
- Intention is not sufficient, only actual withdrawal counts.
- Even if the boundaries of the buffer zone are altered by mutual agreement, only the boundaries as they existed prior will be considered to define "the buffer zone" for purposes of this market.
- If there is a partial withdrawal but some presence remains there, this will resolve No. I will not bet on this market.