Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 68%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado4 feb 25, 10:31 UTC2 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Israel withdraw from Lebanon by ?
FutuurWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
PolymarketWill US withdraw from NATO by which date?
PolymarketWill the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Armenia withdraw from the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael and Syria normalize relations by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Will the Israeli Defense Forces withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria, returning to its prior position, by the end of 2026?
- Only IDF troops will be considered to be IDF presence; if the military of an allied entity holds the territory, this can still resolve Yes.
- Intention is not sufficient, only actual withdrawal counts.
- Even if the boundaries of the buffer zone are altered by mutual agreement, only the boundaries as they existed prior will be considered to define "the buffer zone" for purposes of this market.
- If there is a partial withdrawal but some presence remains there, this will resolve No. I will not bet on this market.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 470,8 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Volumen total
- 35,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 100,1 mil €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026??
- Está previsto que Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will the Israeli Defense Forces withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria, returning to its prior position, by the end of 2026?