Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 95.9%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado30 mar 26, 4:34 UTC1 ene 28, 4:33 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Iran use nuclear weapons against Israel before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Los criterios de resolución aún no están disponibles para este mercado. Las próximas actualizaciones completarán esta sección cuando se hayan guardado las reglas de la fuente.
Mercados abiertos
Middle EastPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No83.2%
- Yes16.8%
- Volumen total
- 58,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 260,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.1pt56.1%
- October 3131.8%
- September 30-2.0pt10.3%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-1.0pt10%
- September 30-1.5pt2%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+1.3pt53.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-2.0pt28.9%
- Naftali Bennett9.3%
+16 resultados más
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+2.0pt63%
- December-5.5pt41%
- October+6.0pt27%
+9 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 202968%
- Before Jul 1, 202868%
- Before Jan 1, 2028+3.0pt58%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 19,9 M €
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Iran use Nuclear weapons??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Iran use Nuclear weapons??
- Está previsto que Will Iran use Nuclear weapons? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.