Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029?
PolíticaGeopolíticaOne-OffMiddle East2aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 61%
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21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado22 jun 25, 2:04 UTC1 ene 29, 2:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria:
- The question resolves TRUE if, on or before December 31, 2028, any of the following entities:
- - United States: the President, Vice President, Secretary of Defense, National Security Advisor, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or Commander of a Unified Combatant Command;
- - Israel: the Prime Minister, Minister of Defense, National Security Advisor, or Chief of the General Staff (IDF);
- issues a clear and unambiguous threat to use nuclear weapons against Iran.
- To count, the threat must meet all of the following conditions:
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 61% a fecha de 18 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029??
- Está previsto que Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US or Israel threaten to use nuclear weapons against Iran before 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria: