Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz?
Middle EastGeopolíticaOne-Off6mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 75%
Pronosticadores
47
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado5 abr 26, 22:29 UTC5 abr 27, 22:27 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, 1 month after the Strait of Hormuz is opened to typical amounts of traffic (>50% of traffic prior to the closure), there is a public agreement between Iran and the relevant international parties (e.g., the U.S. or a UN-backed coalition) that explicitly includes both of the following conditions:
- Substantial sanctions relief: A verifiable, significant easing of economic sanctions currently imposed on Iran by major international powers (not merely minor exemptions or renewals).
- Tolls on ships: The formal establishment of a mechanism allowing Iran to legally levy tolls or fees on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz.
- The market resolves to NO if no such agreement is reached by the date specified, or if an agreement is reached that does not include both provisions.
- Official government press releases, international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP, Bloomberg), and verified transcripts of diplomatic agreements will be used to determine the outcome.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz??
- Está previsto que Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz? se resuelva el 5 de abril de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Iran get substantial sanctions relief AND tolls on ships in exchange for reopening Hormuz??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria