Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50.1%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado19 ago 26, 14:07 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
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PolymarketReglas
This is the strongest and most consequential market in the series.
- It asks whether Gustavo Petro will ultimately receive a prison sentence as a result of a criminal conviction before the beginning of 2028.
- A conviction alone would not be sufficient.
- The court must actually impose a sentence that includes imprisonment.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent court sentences Gustavo Petro to a term of imprisonment before January 1, 2028.
Mercados abiertos
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
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- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volumen total
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POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volumen total
- 9,8 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,8 mil €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volumen total
- 498,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,1 mil €
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- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 resultados más
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
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- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028??
- Está previsto que Will Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is the strongest and most consequential market in the series.