¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 64.4% a fecha de 28 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027??

Está previsto que Will Gustavo Petro face a criminal trial before January 1, 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 64.4%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 29 minutos

19 ago 26, 14:06 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Several investigations and allegations surrounding Petro's administration could potentially lead to criminal proceedings.

This market focuses on a later stage of the legal process: whether Petro actually faces a criminal trial before the end of 2026.
The market does not ask whether he will be investigated or charged, but whether a criminal trial formally begins.
Resolution criteria:
YES: If Gustavo Petro formally enters a criminal trial before January 1, 2027, following the initiation of judicial proceedings against him.
NO: If no criminal trial begins before that date.