Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 81%
Pronosticadores
92
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado30 ene 24, 21:55 UTC2 ene 30, 12:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland become independent in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExReglas
Resolves YES if Greenland becomes officially independent from Denmark before 2030.
- Resolves on independence actually coming into effect, not just on announcements or votes.
- "Official" means "according to both Greenland and Danish governments".
- If Greenland declares independence unilaterally, it will only count if and after Denmark acknowledges and makes it official from their end too.
- Greenland becoming a part of another country other than Denmark will also count.
