Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 66.5%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado15 abr 24, 16:32 UTC5 mar 45, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a conflict or set of conflicts have become commonly referred to as "The Drone Wars".
- At least one of these conflicts this term refers to must have occurred between January 1st 2020 and December 31st 2029.
- If no such terminology has emerged by January 1st 2045, then this question resolves as NO.
- If there is weak evidence that this term is used, but no strong evidence that it is commonplace, then this question resolves as N/A.
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 581,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 55,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 96,8 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars??
- Está previsto que Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars? se resuelva el 5 de marzo de 2045.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will conflicts in the 2020s be called The Drone Wars??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a conflict or set of conflicts have become commonly referred to as "The Drone Wars".