Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 78.7%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 33 minutos
13 mar 24, 13:20 UTC20 mar 30, 15:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves YES or NO when a Chinese government body disseminates information that makes this question clear.
- We should not assume that this information will come any particular time, and it might be the case that it becomes an open secret, but resolution should still wait for official confirmation.
- Would resolve NA if it became clear there will be no next aircraft carrier
- Update 2025-12-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The creator will not bet on this market
- If China is simultaneously working on both nuclear and non-nuclear carriers, the market resolves based on whichever carrier is the fourth to be commissioned
