Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027?
GeopolíticaOne-OffChina1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 66.8%
Pronosticadores
10
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado29 mar 26, 13:43 UTC31 dic 27, 15:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria:
- This market resolves to YES if, before 2027, reliable media or official sources confirm that vessels belonging to the People's Republic of China (PRC) have physically boarded and inspected a commercial merchant ship en route to Taiwan.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- To resolve YES, ALL of the following conditions must be met:
- The Actor (Who is boarding?): The boarding must be conducted by official PRC state vessels or personnel.
- This includes the China Coast Guard (CCG), the People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN), or the Maritime Safety Administration (MSA).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 67% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will China state vessels (e.g., CCG) board a commercial cargo ship heading to Taiwan's main island before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria: