Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work?
EconomíaOne-OffSociety & Culture4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 81.3%
Pronosticadores
22
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado20 may 24, 12:23 UTC25 dic 30, 4:59 UTC
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She wrote this article: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/05/17/my-last-five-years-of-work/.
- She actually speculates she might only work for 3 more years.
- Resolves to YES if Avital Balwit has gainful or plausibly impactful employment, including self-employment but excluding household work and raising children, during the year 2030, constituting an average of at least 20 hours/week of work over some 6 month period.
- Domestic work such as child care does not count towards this.
- Resolves to NO if Avital Balwit does not have such gainful or plausibly impactful employment to this extent, for any reason.
- Resolves to 50% if we have no idea what she is up to.
Mercados abiertos
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- 25 bps increase+1.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase+0.1pt1%
+2 resultados más
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- 91 M €
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- 1,7 M €
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- 47,4 mil €
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- Above 0.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
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- 359,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
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- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt94%
- Above -5.0% of GDP-6.0pt90%
- Above -4.5% of GDP80%
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- 16,4 mil €
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- Above -5.0% of GDP-1.0pt96%
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- Recession this year?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 81% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work??
- Está previsto que Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work? se resuelva el 25 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Avital Balwit be employed in 2030, after writing about her last 5 years of work??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: She wrote this article: https://www.palladiummag.com/2024/05/17/my-last-five-years-of-work/.