Will a P5 nation veto a 2026 UNSCR about US military action in Venezuela or its vessels?
GeopolíticaOne-OffRusia / UcraniaChinaAmérica Latina2m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 29 oct 2026, 13:40 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualSí 68.6%
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2
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado ayer
Desactualizado3 ene 26, 19:08 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Yes if a resolution fitting that description (likely about 2025-2026 activity) would pass but is vetoed by any delegates representing US, UK, China, France, or Russia.
- Resolution must be meaningfully "about" US attacks on Venezuela or Venezuelan ships, not merely mentioning them.
- Update 2026-01-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market opened with a slight bias to YES due to the precedent of the veto of S/21048 on the US invasion of Panama.
