Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 93.2%
Pronosticadores
32
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado29 abr 26, 22:33 UTC31 dic 50, 23:59 UTC
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ForecastExReglas
Potential Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)
- I suppose they don't have to be strictly a "former" pornstar.
- They could still be active, but they had to have also done the work prior to becoming President.
- Though I admit that'd be quite odd and much less expected than someone who had retired from that work.
Mercados abiertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 89,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 541,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 30,7 mil €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 334,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 12,8 mil €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 10,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 10,7 mil €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volumen total
- 612,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,9 mil €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 2,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,3 mil €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 93% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP??
- Está previsto que Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will a former pornstar become US president before China overtakes the US in GDP??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Potential Source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nominal)