¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez become US president before 2100??

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 81% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez become US president before 2100??

Está previsto que Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez become US president before 2100? se resuelva el 30 de diciembre de 2099.

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 81%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 hora

Retrasado

26 mar 25, 3:39 UTC30 dic 99, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

This market resolves to YES if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez becomes President of the United States at any time before January 1, 2100.

Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
Only official, publicly recognized terms as President count (e.g., being sworn in after an election or succession).
Temporary or acting roles do not qualify.
Early resignations or removal from office do not affect resolution as long as they officially assumes the presidency.
Resolves N/A in the case that the office of president ceases to exist for practical purposes.