Will 10 or more people be injured or killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece, prior to 2030
GeopolíticaOne-Off3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 72%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado11 may 23, 16:59 UTC31 dic 29, 20:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve yes if it is reported (in a reputable fashion) by Wikipedia that 10 or more peeople are injured/killed in a dispute/conflict between Turkey and Greece after the start date of this market.
- I will likely refer to this page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aegean_dispute, however any Wikipedia page counts (I'm more or less intending to use it as a news aggregator in this case).
- If multiple reputable sources for >10 people being injured/killed are posted in the comments, I am likely to count that as well.
- I will verify the source shown on Wikipedia, and will not resolve this market to yes if it seems like the source is false.
- If the reputability of the source becomes a contentious point, I will attempt to compensate an (uninvested) Admin to resolve this market.
- I will not bet in this market.