Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualTony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) 100%Líder entre 27 opciones
Pronosticadores
38
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
20 ene 26, 4:29 UTC31 dic 26, 4:11 UTC
Tendencias
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”
- Resolution Criteria
- The Board of Peace has a multi-level structure with a main Board set to be composed mainly of country leaders, with about 60 countries invited as per January 20, 2026.
- Answers resolves continuously based on official communications regarding individuals that start actively holding formal seats on the main Board of Peace (not to be confused with the Gaza executive board)..
- Supporting roles below the top level, like those held by the Aryeh Lightstone and Josh Gruenbaum, do not count for this market.
- Possible resolution sources:
Mercados abiertos
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 22,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 581,3 mil €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-17.5pt51%
+2 resultados más
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt8%
- September 30+0.4pt2%
- July 310%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Volumen total
- 55,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 96,8 mil €
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- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Members of the Board of Peace??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Tony Blair (former UK Prime Minister) al 100% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Members of the Board of Peace??
- Está previsto que Members of the Board of Peace? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Members of the Board of Peace??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Described by Trump as the “the Greatest and Most Prestigious Board ever assembled,”