Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actual
Mox Opal 9.7%Líder entre 4 opciones
Mox Opal 9.7%Pronosticadores
16
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado17 dic 24, 0:00 UTC17 dic 26, 7:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will America be seriously involved in any wars within 2 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Destiny be included in an officially released pornographic film within the next 4 years?
Manifold MarketsWill Destiny surpass Hasan's number of YouTube subscribers within 2 years 8 months as predicted by Socialblade?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketReglas
Four cards were just unbanned in the Magic: the Gathering format Modern today.
- These cards were formerly quite powerful, but there has been a lot of "power creep" in the format.
- Many are saying that the named outcome won't even be played, for example — but the named outcome wasn't expected to be unbanned, and could still be broken.
- SaffronOlive asks on Twitter what odds people think of a reban, and gives these:
- [image]Resolves based on official Wizards of the Coast ban announcements.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.