What will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
PolíticaOne-OffGeopolíticaRusia / UcraniaEuropaElecciónClima4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGermany goes back to 1933 era 50%Líder entre 14 opciones
Pronosticadores
0
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado6 oct 26, 14:46 UTC31 dic 30, 11:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Resolution criteria
- This is a conditional market.
- If no member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is sworn in as the Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler) at any point prior to January 1, 2031, this entire market and all of its individual options will resolve to N/A. If an AfD member does become Chancellor before 2031, the individual options will resolve to YES if the specified event is enacted, officially implemented, or occurs during their tenure (or within one year of their tenure, provided it is still before January 1, 2031).
- Otherwise, they will resolve to NO.
- Because this market allows anyone to add answers (addAnswersMode: ANYONE), newly added options must be resolved under the same conditional rules.
