Pronóstico comunitario actual
Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] 69%+19.0ptLíder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+19.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado20 sept 26, 7:34 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.
- Each answer resolves independently.
- “Enters government” means an AfD Bundeskanzler and AFD-lead coalition.
- Let Y be the calendar year in which this first happens after this market’s preparation.
- We compare annual figures for Y−1, the last calendar year before entry, with Y+3, the third full calendar year after entry.
- Each answer resolves YES if its stated change occurs, and NO otherwise.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Will greenhouse-gas emissions decrease? [Lower annual territorial emissions, excluding land use and forestry, Umweltbundesamt] al 69% a fecha de 21 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures?
- Está previsto que Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2030.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Germany after the AfD enters federal government: objective measures?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market forecasts changes in Germany following the AfD’s entry into federal government.