What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan?
Geopolítica
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
China launches military drills around Taiwan 92%Líder entre 109 opciones
Pronosticadores
37
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 23 horas
Desactualizado29 ene 25, 16:25 UTC1 ene 00, 22:59 UTC
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This question resolves once China invades Taiwan.
- The statements that are relevant as warning signs to the invasion of Taiwan, and refer to things that occurred in the 12 months prior to the date of the invasion (or overlap significantly with this period) and up until 48 hours before the invasion start time, resolve as YES.
- The statements must be at least adjacent to Taiwan or connected to significant geopolitical players with China/Taiwan interests.
- Events that could heighten global tensions, be broadly disruptive or are significant historical events are also acceptable.
- This includes but is not limited to major technological developments and catastrophes.
- In the context of this question, the invasion start time is considered to be the first moment a soldier from the Chinese mainland sets foot on the main island of Taiwan as part of an invasion force.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan??
- Manifold Markets cotiza China launches military drills around Taiwan al 92% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan??
- Está previsto que What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.
- ¿Cómo se liquida What will be the warning signs for the invasion of Taiwan??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This question resolves once China invades Taiwan.