Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 86.3%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado20 ene 26, 19:54 UTC19 ene 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if the US uses force or the threat of force to take control of the island by the end of Trump's second term.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Edge cases will be decided by me in accordance with the outcome most closely matching the spirit of the question.